Liberals, rejoice! Or should they? For the first time in over one hundred days, Donald Trump is not at the top of the polls for the Republic Party Presidential nomination. On November 4, the even more conservative neurosurgeon Ben Carson pulled into the front of the pack with an RCP average of 24.8%, compared to Trump’s 24.6%.

This is a stunning change from only two months ago, when Trump led the polls by fourteen percent. This new development is most likely due to Trump’s poor performances in the second and third Republican debates, whereas Carson talked smoothly and appealed to more conservative voters in a more conservative fashion. Both of the frontrunners are more than thirteen points above the rest, though.
In third place polling nationally, Marco Rubio has over eleven percent support with voters, after reportedly winning the third Republican debate and doing well in the second, and generating large support with minorities. Ted Cruz has also seen his polls go up, jumping two points in the last month to 8.8 percent, after he impressed Tea Party voters with his ultra-conservative views and surpassed Rick Santorum when it came to generating support among the right-wingers. Kasich has seen his numbers rise to three percent support, but due to his liberal leanings he is unlikely to make it very far in the Republican Presidential Race.
Almost every other candidate has had their poll numbers go down. Jeb Bush has seen his campaign decline steadily, over twelve points since mid-June, when it was at its highest. After failing to make an impact at the debates and being overtaken by his former protégée Marco Rubio, his voter support has dwindled to less than six percent.

The once-promising Carly Fiorina has lost over seven percent in polls in the past two months, despite generating tremendous support among conservative women. Über-conservatives Rand Paul and Mike Huckabee remain complete nonentities in the race while Chris Christie drags along at two percent support, due to his lack of voter appeal.

Meanwhile, conservative candidates Rick Santorum, Bobby Jindal, and Lindsey Graham are dragging below one percent. The real loser of the race so far, though, is former New York State Governor George Pataki, who has exactly zero percent voter support.

Carson is clearly replacing Trump as frontrunner, whose campaign has declined steadily throughout his mediocre performances in the later debates. While this prevents “America’s apocalypse” of Trump becoming president, as the Washington Post put it, an even more of a conservative is surging in the polls, who beats or ties leading Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in every head-to head matchup. What liberals may see as a momentary breather from Trump may turn into an even worse situation for them.